ATTN: Kiwis

[Mr Casson]

If you fancy a cracking bet on the Cricket, Justin Ontong is $18 to high bat for South Africa with your local TAB. Turns out he's opening with Gibbs out, so it's humongous value, especially if BD bat first. Price will only last as long as it takes for someone serious to see it and smash it in.

 

[Somerset]

If hes going to be opening now that Gibbs has been dropped for the game, thats very good value. Interesting to compare the New Zealand TAB to Bet365, who are paying only $5.50 for Ontong to top score.

 

[Mr Casson]

I've got NZ$150 on it, but about half of that is for five people at work, if that gives you any indication of what kind of value it is around here.

 

[Somerset]

Wouldn't it be humourous if he was dismissed for next to nothing after bringing this to our attention then.

 

[NUFAN]

Yeah the odds are high, but he's a fairly rubbish player IMO.

Tipping Rasel to knock him out cheaply tbh.

 

[Mr Casson]

Wouldn't it be humourous if he was dismissed for next to nothing after bringing this to our attention then.

No... because it's a value bet. If you let losing on a good bet put you off for next time, you'd be a dire punter.

 

[HMas]

Isnt betting haraam in the world??

 

[Prince EWS]

Wouldn't it be humourous if he was dismissed for next to nothing after bringing this to our attention then.

He's less likely to top score than not, so you have to be prepared for that. He's certainly a lot more likely to top score than the odds suggest, though, so it's a wise bet to place.

 

[Prince EWS]

No... because it's a value bet. If you let losing on a good bet put you off for next time, you'd be a dire punter.

Yeah, what he said.

 

[Somerset]

My post was more tongue in cheek than anything. Of course its a good bet and worth taking, and I wish you all the best with your $150 punt Mr Casson. Incidentally the TAB's dropped the price to the Bet365 price of $5.50 now.

 

[Mr Casson]

I'm not actually risking that much . I sold most of it to guys in the office because I'm a nice ****. If the TAB dropping its price by 3 times the original value is any sign though, it's obviously massive value. I was going to say before, but a guy I used to work with, who is a pro punter and head trades cricket at a bookie in England/Ireland wanted $3k at $13, so obviously $18 is pretty serious value. Precisely as Price EWS said, it isn't odds on to happen, but it only needs to be better than a 1 in 17 chance to happen for it to be a value bet.

I was only trying to let people know in case they wanted a slice though, your _Ed_s and your Voltmans because they like a bet, wasn't trying to be all superior or anything.

And now I'm drunk. I blame you for that, Somerset.

 

[Smudge]

I was out drinking last night, so didn't see this thread. Besides, I'm not allowed to put fixed odds bets on over the counter - I have to put money into my account and put the bet on online or over the phone, which I can't be bothered with.

Might have had a crack at a boxed multi with Ontong in there though.